"The car is physically present, but administratively it is largely invisible, unlike most other vehicles today where cities have at a minimum mechanisms for them to pay for curb use and receive citations for non-compliance. The gap between what's on the street and what cities can actually see, price, or enforce is the defining curb management problem of the next decade."
"A peer-reviewed study published this year in Travel Behaviour and Society found that automated vehicles in US cities are associated with a roughly 6-percent increase in vehicle miles traveled - driven in part by AVs traveling empty between trips, searching for parking, or returning home after dropping off passengers. That's not a forecast. That's a measured effect at today's deployment levels."
"Fire the driver - historically the highest single cost in a for-hire trip - and per-mile prices fall. Demand at lower prices rises. Fleets scale to meet it. This is Econ 101, and it's why we think most municipal planners are working off an expected volume of robotaxis on the street that will look far too low by 2030."
Autonomous vehicles are proliferating across cities globally, with highly automated vehicles already operating in 103 cities and interacting with approximately 310 million people daily. However, cities lack mechanisms to track, price, or enforce compliance for these vehicles' curb usage, parking, and violations. Current data shows AVs are associated with a 6-percent increase in vehicle miles traveled due to empty repositioning and parking searches. As driver costs are eliminated, per-mile prices will decrease, demand will rise, and fleet scaling will accelerate. Municipal planners are likely underestimating the volume of autonomous vehicles that will operate by 2030, and traditional enforcement approaches will prove inadequate for managing this emerging transportation paradigm.
#autonomous-vehicles #curb-management #urban-planning #vehicle-miles-traveled #municipal-enforcement
Read at Streetsblog USA
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