"there were periods of extensive rainfall that, combined with high temperatures, triggered the growth of plagiotropic and orthotropic branches that would later support the blossoms expected in 2024. Around April and May of 2024, judging by the number of branches, productive nodes, plant health and leaf coverage, it seemed likely we would have good conditions for the flowering that was set to occur between August and October. At that point, I thought we might see a bountiful harvest in 2025."
"Technicians and agronomists estimated that by May, much of the potential was already lost and that 20-25% of the harvest was compromised. This happens because the energy reserves maintained by coffee plants drain when fueling natural physiological processes such as leaf and root growth, flower and fruit development, pathogen defense and so on. Under stress - whether climatic or physiological - the plant spends part of that energy balance just to survive until conditions improve."
The 2025 Brazil coffee crop is virtually 100% picked, in storage and ready for commercialization. Arabica crop formation begins roughly two years before harvest, so weather and plant development across 2023–2024 strongly influenced 2025 productivity. Heavy rains and high temperatures in Aug–Sept 2023 stimulated branch growth supportive of 2024 flowering, and conditions in Apr–May 2024 initially suggested favorable flowering prospects for Aug–Oct 2024. A record-breaking drought from May–Sept 2024 severely limited fruit set, with technicians estimating about 20–25% of potential production was lost as plants depleted energy reserves to survive stress.
Read at Daily Coffee News by Roast Magazine
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