BITU's Decay Problem: Why This Bitcoin ETF Lost 31% While Bitcoin Fell Just 10%
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BITU's Decay Problem: Why This Bitcoin ETF Lost 31% While Bitcoin Fell Just 10%
"BITU resets daily, delivering 2x of one trading day's Bitcoin return, which leads to divergence from a static 2x of Bitcoin's cumulative move, especially in volatile markets."
"Year to date, Bitcoin is down 10%, implying a 21% loss for BITU, but actual performance shows BITU down 31%, highlighting the decay tax from compounding through volatility."
"A straight-line 50% Bitcoin decline implies a near-total wipeout for a 2x daily product, and a volatile 50% decline is worse due to decay stacking on directional loss."
ProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF (BITU) provides traders with 2x daily exposure to the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index through swaps, featuring a 0.98% expense ratio. The fund resets daily, leading to performance divergence from a static 2x of Bitcoin's cumulative move, particularly in volatile markets. Year to date, Bitcoin is down 10%, while BITU has fallen 31%. Over the past year, Bitcoin's decline of 17% contrasts with BITU's 53% drop. The fund's structure amplifies losses during choppy trading, and Bitcoin's historical volatility poses additional risks for leveraged products like BITU.
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