"The XRP price has been stuck between $1.30 and $1.45 since February, with $1.45 rejecting every breakout attempt. Moreso, XRP almost never rallies without Bitcoin leading first, so if BTC clears $85,000, will XRP finally hit $1.50 and hold it?"
"If BTC clears the 200-day MA and runs to $85,000, that's about a 4.5% move. At half Bitcoin's pace, XRP would gain roughly 2-3%, putting the price around $1.45-$1.46-just shy of $1.50. It's not a guarantee, but based on how the two coins have been correlating recently, $1.45-$1.46 is the most BTC could realistically push XRP on its own."
"So, most XRP rallies since the United States and Iran war began late February have been met by the same fate: XRP rallies on big news, but there's no follow-through buying to absorb the supply, so the price drops below $1.45 each time. A Bitcoin rally to $85K could push the rest of the market, including XRP, higher, but the XRP price will face the same resistance."
"If Bitcoin clears $85,000 and the CLARITY Act markup happens before May 21, XRP could finally break $1.50 and run to $1.65-$1.70. BTC clearing $85K could push XRP past the $1.45 wall, and CLARITY Act will bring the institutional buying that would absorb the overhead supply clustered above that level. If that happens, XRP could hit $1.65-$1.70 before May ends."
XRP has traded in a tight range between $1.30 and $1.45 since February, with $1.45 repeatedly rejecting breakout attempts. XRP rallies have often lacked follow-through buying, causing prices to fall back below $1.45 after big news. XRP typically moves in line with Bitcoin, so a Bitcoin move above the 200-day moving average toward $85,000 could lift XRP by roughly 2–3%, likely bringing it to about $1.45–$1.46. Three outcomes are considered if Bitcoin clears $85,000: a break above $1.50 and a run to $1.65–$1.70 if the CLARITY Act markup occurs before May 21, or a brief tag of $1.50 followed by a fade back to $1.40–$1.45 if the markup stalls.
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