
"'No tropical storms or hurricanes over the Atlantic basin on Sept. 10 has only happened three times over the last 30 years,' DaSilva added."
"'There is a low risk that a new tropical wave moving across the primary Atlantic development region could develop in the coming days,' DaSilva said."
The Climate Prediction Center forecasts heightened tropical cyclone risk beginning September 17. Models indicate a 40–60 percent chance of storms developing in the central Atlantic near the Cape Verde Islands and moving west toward the Lesser Antilles. Forecasters assign a 20–40 percent probability of cyclone formation in the northwest Caribbean and Gulf of America over the next two weeks. A strong tropical wave off Africa around September 20 could raise eastern Atlantic odds to 40–60 percent. September 10 is the seasonal peak; this year marks the first climatological peak in nearly a decade without a named storm in the basin. Roughly 40–60 tropical waves typically move westward during the season, with about one in five becoming a tropical storm or hurricane.
Read at Mail Online
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