"Ireland will fall short of our renewable energy targets up to 2030. These targets are based on the share of renewable energy in gross final energy consumption in the electricity, heat and transport sectors. The priority will still remain supporting domestic renewable generation, with further analysis to be undertaken to assess the potential value and cost effectiveness of these mechanisms."
"New research by the ESRI found that at the end of 2024, deep retrofits and heat-pump installations reached just 11.5pc and 3.5pc of 2030 goals. Projections indicate that even with significant interventions, home retrofitting targets are unlikely to be met. The barriers to uptake include high costs, disruption during the process and behavioural barriers, and split incentives in rentals."
"Building Energy Rating (BER) metrics could be misleading and may mis-specify emissions cuts, due to their basis in predicted rather than actual or realised energy use. The actual energy consumption has been found to vary little between the different BER ratings, suggesting current assessment methods may not accurately reflect real-world performance differences."
Ireland met its 16% renewable energy baseline target in 2024 but faces projected shortfalls for interim targets of 27.6% in 2025 and 33.6% in 2027, with an overall 2030 goal of 43%. The government is exploring options including financial contributions to EU renewable projects for statistical energy allocation. ESRI research reveals significant challenges: deep retrofits and heat-pump installations reached only 11.5% and 3.5% of 2030 goals respectively. Building Energy Rating metrics may be misleading due to reliance on predicted rather than actual energy use. Major barriers include high costs, installation disruption, behavioral resistance, and rental market split incentives. Over 40% of homeowners showed no interest in necessary home upgrades.
Read at Irish Independent
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