"A typical El Niño affects regional-to-global weather patterns, as a warming patch of water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean influences what regions could experience droughts, floods and extreme heat. During these relatively rare super El Niño events, happening once every 10 to 15 years on average, the effects may be stronger, more persistent and more widespread."
"Those impacts can include the frequency and location of heat waves, the locations of flooding downpours and drought could focus, where hurricanes may hit, and declining sea ice concentrations. For example, the Western United States could face a hotter than average summer, some tropical countries could face worse drought and extreme heat, while more tropical cyclones could develop in the Pacific, with fewer in the Atlantic."
"There's also a growing chance that this year's El Niño, especially if it's a strong one, would push global temperatures to record levels, particularly in 2027. It's a possibility that has the attention of climate scientists, though there are a range of views on how strong it may become."
European climate forecasts indicate a strong or super El Niño may develop, occurring when equatorial Pacific Ocean temperatures exceed 2 degrees Celsius above average. Such events happen once every 10-15 years and produce stronger, more persistent, and widespread effects than typical El Niño conditions. Impacts include altered heat wave frequency and location, changed flooding and drought patterns, modified hurricane activity, and declining sea ice. The Western United States may experience hotter summers, tropical regions could face severe drought and heat, and Pacific cyclone activity may increase while Atlantic activity decreases. Climate scientists anticipate this event could push global temperatures to record levels, particularly in 2027, making it a major climate driver for 2026-2027.
Read at The Washington Post
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