"Entering the cyber world is stepping into a warzone. Cyber is considered a war zone, and what happens there is described as cyberwar. But it's not that simple. War is conducted by nations (political), not undertaken by criminals (financial). Both are increasing in this war zone we call cyber, but the political threat is growing fast. Cyberwar is a complex subject, and a formal definition is difficult."
"To help us navigate the complexity, we'll start with an arbitrary definition that has no provenance outside this article. We suggest that 'cyberwar' is the conflict between criminals and business, while 'cyberwarfare' is the conflict between nations. (Note that this is our distinction and not one in general use. The experts quoted in this discussion do not necessarily make such a distinction.)"
Entering the cyber domain is likened to entering a warzone, with both criminal and political actors operating there. Cyberwar is difficult to define; distinctions between criminal cyber activity and nation-state aggression are debated. An operational distinction frames 'cyberwar' as conflict between criminals and businesses and 'cyberwarfare' as conflict between nations, though that distinction is not universally adopted. Both criminal cyber activity and nation-state operations are expected to increase through 2026, with nation-state cyber activity likely to rise more dramatically. The primary differentiator should be actors' intent rather than damage, because political motives can produce national-level harm beyond commercial losses.
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