In the aftermath of the 2024 election, Democrats are grappling with the underlying reasons for their defeat. There is a split between center-left and progressive factions. Center-left analysts believe the party's challenges stem from an inability to persuade swing voters due to overly progressive messaging. Conversely, progressives argue that Democratic voter turnout suffered due to a lack of enthusiasm among their base. New data from the Cooperative Election Study reveals that a significant number of nonvoters were likely Democrats, suggesting both perspectives may be valid in understanding the election results.
The people who really decided the 2024 election are the ones who didn't vote at all, suggesting that both energizing the base and persuasion matters.
Democrats face a reckoning on whether to swing further left or reconcile with center-left views, as they analyze the reasons behind their 2024 defeat.
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