"Brebbia has generally had solid K/BB numbers, generally running a strikeout rate at/above 25 percent and usually keeping the walk rate in the 7-8 percent range. The hiccup in all of this is that Brebbia is a fly ball pitcher with a career GB% right at 30 percent. In total, that gets you a guy whose performance is kind of generic for a reliever, but may cause more than its reasonable share of heartache because he doesn't keep the ball on the ground."
"You don't get excited about a guy like this, but there's a solid arm in there. You're just hoping you're on the happy side of the HR/FB variation spectrum. The Tigers apparently felt strongly enough that his 145/108/93 line from 2024 was an outlier that they gave him $2.5 million instead of a minor league deal; he was projected as somewhere between replacement level and a decent reliever."
John Brebbia is a right-handed reliever who signed with the Detroit Tigers for $2.75 million in the offseason and was released in late June; the Atlanta Braves signed him to a minor-league deal on June 24. Brebbia typically posts strikeout rates at or above 25 percent while keeping walk rates around 7–8 percent. He is a fly-ball pitcher with a career ground-ball rate near 30 percent, which makes his results sensitive to home-run-to-fly-ball variation. His career ERA-/FIP-/xFIP- entering 2025 was 93/89/103, and teams viewed parts of his 2024 performance as possibly anomalous.
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