Live: Will Axon Deliver Another Blowout Quarter After the Bell?
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Live: Will Axon Deliver Another Blowout Quarter After the Bell?
"Revenue rose 38.53% year over year to $796.7 million, topping consensus by 5.59%, while non-GAAP EPS of $2.15 beat the $1.60 estimate by 34.37%. Annual recurring revenue cleared $1.35 billion, net revenue retention hit 125%, and 2025 bookings reached $7.4 billion, up 46%. CFO Brittany Bagley called the 2026 setup 'the strongest outlook we have had heading into the year.'"
"I'll be watching three things. First, the AI Era Plan ramp. President Joshua Isner said new product bookings nearly tripled to over $1 billion in 2025, with the AI Era Plan alone driving approximately $750 million. Axon Assistant is live at 500+ public safety agencies, generating 200,000+ messages per month."
"Second, margins. Bagley said the company has baked in a 15% global tariff, but Connected Devices revenue of $454.2 million (+37.6%) still carries exposure. With software margins above 80%, continued mix shift toward Software & Services, which grew 39.8% to $342.5 million in Q4, helps the story."
"Third, integration. The Carbyne deal closed in Q1, bringing Carbyne into the Axon 911 stack. Investors are going to want to see early traction in bookings and cross-sell to Fusus customers."
Axon Enterprise is under scrutiny as it prepares for its Q1 2026 results following a strong Q4 performance. Despite a 38.75% stock decline over the past year, the company reported a 38.53% revenue increase to $796.7 million and a non-GAAP EPS of $2.15, exceeding estimates. Key factors to watch include the ramp-up of the AI Era Plan, margin performance, and integration of the Carbyne deal. Insiders have sold shares, raising concerns about future growth and investor confidence.
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