"We'll use a variety of metrics as guides, classifying teams based on how likely they are to make the field of 68 as one of the 37 at-large selections -- conditional on not winning their respective conference tournaments for one of the 31 automatic qualifying bids (AQs). To that end, we'll use Joe Lunardi's Bracketology projections and a combination of data sources -- including my forecast-model consensus and NCAA résumé metrics such as NET rankings"
"Locks: Teams that would need a significant change in momentum to miss the cut (which some inevitably still will). Should be in: Teams tracking safely above the cutline, if not immune to trouble. Most likely, these teams should hear their names called on March 15, though their fates are not yet assured. Work to do: Teams whose upcoming results will meaningfully change their fate (for good or bad). These are the truest "on the bubble" teams, because their chances are closest to a coin flip."
Selection Sunday is roughly six weeks away, creating urgency to determine which teams will receive at-large bids. Teams are evaluated for one of 37 at-large selections conditional on 31 automatic qualifying bids from conference tournament winners. Evaluation uses Joe Lunardi's Bracketology projections, a forecast-model consensus, and NCAA résumé metrics such as NET rankings that the selection committee considers. Teams are categorized as Locks, Should be in, Work to do, and Long shots based on momentum and underlying potential. Rankings proceed conference by conference in order of projected bid totals, and ongoing results will shift teams' chances.
Read at ESPN.com
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]