"David Gross stated, 'Even after the Cold War ended, when we had strategic arms control treaties, all of which have disappeared, there were estimates that there was a one percent chance of nuclear war every year.' He believes the chances are more likely two percent, leading to an expected lifetime of about 35 years."
"Gross remarked, 'Things have gotten so much worse in the last 30 years, as you can see every time you read the newspaper,' referring to escalating tensions and renewed nuclear threats globally."
"He pointed out, 'There are now nine nuclear powers. Even three is infinitely more complicated than two,' highlighting the increasing complexity of nuclear diplomacy."
"Gross noted, 'The last surviving US-Russia nuclear treaty expired on February 5, 2026,' emphasizing the urgency of addressing nuclear arms control."
David Gross warns that humanity may have just over 35 years left due to the risk of nuclear war. He estimates a two percent chance of nuclear conflict annually, translating to a one-in-50 chance each year. Gross notes that the situation has worsened over the past 30 years, citing renewed nuclear threats and the lack of major arms-control treaties in the last decade. He emphasizes the complexity of managing nine nuclear powers and the expiration of key treaties, including the New START agreement.
Read at Mail Online
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