"Aid cuts could lead to more than 22 million avoidable deaths by 2030, including 5.4 million children under five, according to the most comprehensive modelling to date. In the past two decades there have been dramatic falls in the number of young children dying from infectious diseases, driven by aid directed to the developing world, researchers wrote in the Lancet Global Health. But that progress was at risk of reversal because of abrupt budget cuts by donor countries, including the US and the UK."
"One was business-as-usual, the second assumed a mild defunding where aid fell by a similar amount as it had over the past few years, and the third severe defunding, where aid fell to about half its 2025 levels until the end of the decade. Under severe defunding, about 22.6 million more deaths were forecast by 2030, including 5.4 million among under-fives."
Cuts to international aid risk reversing dramatic reductions in young child deaths from infectious diseases achieved over the past two decades. Analysis linking aid receipts and death rates from 2002–2021 produced three scenarios: business-as-usual, mild defunding, and severe defunding. Severe defunding could result in about 22.6 million excess deaths by 2030, including 5.4 million children under five; mild defunding could cause about 9.4 million excess deaths, including 2.5 million children. Recent and proposed cuts by major donors—such as the US, the UK, Germany, and Sweden—and proposals for deep cuts in some parties increase the risk of these outcomes.
Read at www.theguardian.com
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]