"Recent Ukrainian General Staff figures suggest losses of more than 3,000 Russian personnel in just 48 hours. While such figures should always be treated with caution, the broader trend is undeniable. Western intelligence estimates now place total Russian casualties, killed, wounded, and missing, at well over one million since the full-scale invasion began in 2022."
"Against this backdrop, the Kremlin is already preparing recruitment drives for 2026, a clear indication that this is not a war going to plan. More than four years into what was intended to be a rapid, decisive campaign, Russian forces remain still locked in grinding battles for control of the Donetsk oblast, territory Moscow claimed to have annexed in 2022."
"It is a war of industrial-scale attrition, where drones, artillery, and precision strikes grind down manpower at a relentless pace, one that in my view increasingly favours the defender. Ukrainian officials have repeatedly pointed to drones as a decisive factor, with some estimates suggesting they now account for the majority of Russian battlefield losses."
Russian military losses have reached over one million personnel killed, wounded, and missing since the 2022 invasion began, with recent reports indicating 3,000 casualties in 48 hours. The Kremlin's need to plan recruitment drives for 2026 demonstrates the war is not achieving its intended rapid victory. Russian forces remain locked in grinding battles for Donetsk territory despite claiming annexation in 2022. The conflict has transformed into industrial-scale attrition warfare, where drones, artillery, and precision strikes continuously deplete manpower at unsustainable rates. Ukrainian officials identify drones as a decisive factor accounting for the majority of Russian battlefield losses. This attrition-based dynamic increasingly favors the defender and indicates the war will continue consuming resources without conventional victory prospects.
Read at London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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