"Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has only hit 23 home runs last season and just two this season, despite being a fantastic hitter overall. His current flyball rate of 19.3% is one of his lowest, and his groundball/flyball ratio of 0.93 is the highest since 2022."
"Guerrero's quality of contact metrics are down, with a hard-hit rate declining over five percent from 2025. His average exit velocity has dropped half a mile per hour, indicating a shift in his hitting approach."
"Selling out to hit more home runs can lead to wild swings and unproductive at-bats. Guerrero seems too content with singles, while the Blue Jays need more power from him."
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the highest-paid player in Blue Jays history and is off to a strong start this season with a .331 batting average. However, he has only hit two home runs, which is significantly lower than expected given his past performance. His flyball rate is at a low 19.3%, and his groundball/flyball ratio is the highest since 2022. Guerrero's quality of contact metrics are declining, indicating he is focusing more on singles rather than home runs, which the team needs.
#vladimir-guerrero-jr #toronto-blue-jays #home-run-production #baseball-statistics #hitting-performance
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