
"Other than John Swinney, there is really only one leader who has consistently put their name forward to be first minister - Labour's Anas Sarwar. The prospect of an outright win for his party seems vanishingly distant, with Labour's struggles in government at Westminster having dragged them down in the Scottish polls. So the outcome of a Sarwar government relies on complex calculations of how Holyrood lines up post-election."
Votes have been cast for the Scottish Parliament election, and results will determine who wins seats and sets the direction of Scottish politics. The SNP aims for an outright majority of 65 seats to push Scottish independence, but Holyrood’s mixed electoral system makes this difficult. The SNP could theoretically reach 65 seats by winning enough constituency seats while gaining ground from Labour and Conservatives and avoiding losses to Labour or the Lib Dems. A key factor is whether challenger-party votes are split or whether tactical voting occurs seat by seat to block the SNP. If the SNP falls short, Labour’s Anas Sarwar’s path to first minister depends on how Holyrood aligns after the election.
Read at www.bbc.com
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