"Mendoza's the rightful favorite because Indiana is undefeated; he's completing 73% of passes, and his 24-3 TD/INT ratio is elite. The fact his number didn't move despite another blowout win shows the market already baked in his dominance. The only reason to hold off betting him now is timing, he's already priced at peak. But in terms of odds, yes, (still) justified."
"Sayin is the "Heisman prototype" in that he's leading a big-name program, an undefeated team, with near-flawless command. He doesn't have the deep-ball highlight reel yet, but the 80% completion rate at 9.4 YPA is absurd. He's also dominating efficient metrics (No. 2 in QBR). His one weakness is that he plays in an offense that distributes the credit. Sayin is simply on a complete team."
"Simpson's stats are clean, and Alabama keeps winning, but there's no Heisman pop. His best game (382 yards vs. Wisconsin) is not enough and he's not doing anything spectacular on the ground. The story is "efficient quarterback of resurgent Alabama." If Bama wins out and he finishes with 35+ TDs and 2 or fewer INTs, he's a finalist, but it's more Mac Jones-type finalist. Simpson is a contender, not a frontrunner -- steady but not electric."
Fernando Mendoza remains the Heisman favorite for a second straight week, completing 73% of passes with a 24-3 TD/INT ratio while leading undefeated Indiana. Cade Sayin fits the Heisman prototype as an undefeated leader for a prominent program, posting an 80% completion rate, 9.4 YPA and top QBR while operating in a credit-sharing offense. Jalen Simpson offers efficient, steady production for Alabama without the game-changing plays that generate Heisman momentum. Bryce Reed appears as an intriguing, complete option on an 8-0 SEC team averaging 40 points. Betting timing is important as Mendoza looks priced near peak.
Read at ESPN.com
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