"In a July white paper, three economists projected that, in a remarkable departure from decades-long patterns, more foreign-born people will likely leave the United States in 2025 than will enter. In the three months since, the Trump administration's aggressive actions have driven net migration even lower than expected, one of the authors, Wendy Edelberg of the Brookings Institution, told me."
"We will not know with certainty for some time whether America has hit net zero, but the White House is already claiming victory. "Promises Made. Promises Kept. NEGATIVE NET MIGRATION for the First Time in 50 Years!" Trump declared on Truth Social in August. Prompted by a CNN report, that claim could, if anything, prove to be too restrained. If the United States experiences negative migration in 2025 and, as seems likely, 2026, it will probably be the first net outflow in nearly a century."
"Student-visa numbers are lower than previously anticipated. In September, the Department of Homeland Security boasted that since President Donald Trump's return to office, it had deported 400,000 people, more than triple the pace of deportations under the Biden administration; it has billions more to spend on further enforcement efforts, courtesy of Congress and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. An unknown number of people have voluntarily left the country rather than be forced out."
Projections indicate more foreign-born people will likely leave the United States in 2025 than will enter, a rare reversal of decades-long patterns. Aggressive enforcement by the Trump administration has further reduced net migration, with lower student-visa numbers and a reported 400,000 deportations since the president's return. Congress has funded billions more for enforcement through recent legislation. An unknown number of noncitizens have voluntarily departed to avoid removal. The White House claims negative net migration for the first time in decades, and analysts suggest 2025 and 2026 could mark the first net outflow in nearly a century. Supporters portray the shift as a return to earlier immigration patterns.
Read at The Atlantic
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