Documents reveal warnings to the US regarding the risks of invading Iraq without a second UN resolution, which could jeopardize Tony Blair's premiership. Blair's advisor, David Manning, outlined to Condoleezza Rice the necessity of a second resolution for gaining political support in the UK. Manning conveyed the differing political landscapes for Bush and Blair, emphasizing that without a second resolution, Blair could lose cabinet and parliamentary backing, leading to his political downfall. The urgency of these discussions was noted prior to a planned visit by Blair to President Bush at Camp David.
Manning stressed to Rice that promoting regime change in Iraq should not lead to regime change in the UK, emphasizing Blairs political vulnerability ahead of invasion.
Blair aimed to secure a second UN resolution, framing it as essential for domestic cabinet and parliamentary support, highlighting the political risks involved.
Rice acknowledged the importance of a second resolution for Blair, recognizing that while Bush could act unilaterally, Blair faced a much different political landscape.
Manning indicated that without the support of a second resolution, Blair risked being forced from office, underscoring the need for careful political navigation.
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