"Iran is weakened in terms of its missile and drone capacity and its production, but the hardliners are very much in control. It is weakened economically, certainly, but it is in control of the strait and it's going to insist that it continue to be in control."
"Iran has a lot of cards and you're seeing them in real time. Americans are paying much higher prices for gasoline but not just for fuel, also for food. Everything from mattresses to medical devices."
"Where Trump is now headed seems to be very much the JCPOA 2.0, maybe slightly changed, and it could have been the result of negotiations; not a war that was based on a fundamental miscalculation."
Senator Blumenthal disputes the Trump administration's claim of holding all negotiating cards with Iran. While Iran faces economic weakness and reduced military capacity, it retains control of the Strait of Hormuz and strategic leverage. The administration proposes a one-page framework deal addressing nuclear enrichment and strait access, resembling a revised JCPOA agreement. Blumenthal argues Iran possesses substantial cards, evidenced by rising American gasoline and commodity prices. The current negotiations follow military conflict based on what Blumenthal characterizes as fundamental miscalculation, with Iran's hardline leadership remaining firmly in control despite weakened circumstances.
#iran-negotiations #strait-of-hormuz #nuclear-diplomacy #trump-administration #geopolitical-leverage
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