"To understand the threat to democracy, and how it might be stopped, I spoke with experts on election administration, constitutional law, and law enforcement. Many of them are people I have known to be cautious, sober, and not prone to hyperbole. Yet they used words like nightmare and warned that Americans need to be ready for really wild stuff. They described a system under attack and reaching a breaking point."
"They enumerated a long list of concerns about next year's midterms, but they largely declined to make predictions about the 2028 presidential election. The speed of Trump's assault on the Constitution has made forecasting difficult, but the 2026 contestsboth the way they work, and the resultswill help determine whether democracy as we know it will survive until then. If you are not frightened, Hannah Fried, the executive director of the voter-access group All Voting Is Local, told me, you are not paying attention."
"One of the things that worried me most in addition to how concerned these generally sober people are, was just the number of ways that somebody who wanted to subvert the election system could do it. There are ways to mess with the rules ahead of the fact, there are ways to suppress votes in the moment, there ways to try to get votes thrown out or to get elections overturned or simply not to seat the winners."
Experts in election administration, constitutional law, and law enforcement warn of an assault on democratic processes that could reach a breaking point. The system faces multiple avenues of attack, including preemptive rule changes, in-the-moment vote suppression, legal efforts to throw out ballots, overturn results, or refuse to seat certified winners. The speed and variety of these tactics complicate forecasting outcomes. The conduct and administration of the 2026 contests, including how elections are run and their results, will substantially influence whether democratic norms and institutions remain intact through the next presidential cycle.
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