"OPINION -- The war that Russian President Vladimir Putin started in Ukraine may finally be turning in a direction that will result in Russia's defeat as the strategic tide seems to be turning against Putin. Russian casualties in Ukraine continue to mount as the Ukrainians are now effectively taking the war to the Russian Federation. Russia's wartime economy is starting to show signs of strain, and evidence may be emerging that discontent with Putin leadership is starting to grow in some of Moscow's elite circles."
"In recent weeks, there have been a number of reported incidents of Russian and aircraft incursions over neighboring states, including the airspace of NATO members. In an escalation of nuclear saber rattling, Putin has tested a Burevestnik cruise missile, a nuclear capable "super-torpedo" and conducted large-scale nuclear drills. These are signs of weakness not strength and are certainly designed to intimidate leaders in the West-including President Trump-to reduce military and economic support to Ukraine."
"Putin's strategy with regard to Trump again seems to have backfired with Trump announcing that the U.S. will resume nuclear testing after a pause of more than thirty years. President Trump also made public the fact that the U.S. has nuclear capable submarines stationed off Russia's coast. This is not the revelation of a strategic or military secret - just a reminder to Putin (and"
Russian forces face rising casualties as Ukrainian forces increasingly strike inside Russia. The wartime Russian economy shows growing strain and signs point to mounting discontent among Moscow's elite. There have been recent reported Russian aircraft incursions over neighboring states including NATO airspace. Putin has tested a Burevestnik cruise missile, a nuclear-capable "super-torpedo", and conducted large-scale nuclear drills in apparent escalatory signaling. These actions aim to intimidate Western leaders and reduce military and economic support for Ukraine. The strategy coincided with President Trump announcing a resumption of U.S. nuclear testing and revealing nuclear-capable submarines near Russia.
Read at The Cipher Brief
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