"Trump is tired of the war, which has proved far more difficult and lasted far longer than he had expected. His party is warily watching rising gas prices and falling poll numbers. He doesn't want to be bogged down in a Middle East conflict like some of his predecessors were. He doesn't want it to upend his high-stakes summit next week in China. He is ready to move on."
"This week, his administration abruptly abandoned an effort to escort ships through the strait in part because of a fear that it could provoke violent, escalating confrontations. Trump is left with a vexing question: How do you end a war when your opponent won't budge? And while Trump grasps for an exit, the hard-liners in Tehran have used the war to tighten their grip on power."
"Today, Washington is still waiting for Iran to respond to the latest offering, a one-page memorandum of understanding that is far more of an extension of the cease-fire than a treaty to end the conflict. Trump is now in a bind. The president, five aides and outside advisers told me, is convinced that he can sell any sort of agreement as a win. But at least for now, the man who wrote The Art of the Deal can't even get Iran to the negotiating table."
"Iran, it seems, does not want the war to come to a close. Or at least not with any sort of outcome that could be acceptable to American negotiators. Iran seems hell-bent on pulling off something it's historically done well: humiliating an American president. Trump never thought it would turn out like this."
Trump wants the war with Iran to end and has repeatedly extended cease-fire deadlines rather than resuming hostilities. His administration abandoned an effort to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz due to fears of provoking violent escalation. Trump is concerned about rising gas prices, declining poll numbers, and the risk of being trapped in a Middle East conflict that could disrupt a major summit in China. Iran has not responded in a way acceptable to American negotiators and has not returned to negotiations. Washington is waiting for Iran to respond to a one-page memorandum of understanding that extends the cease-fire rather than ending the conflict. Hard-liners in Tehran have used the war to strengthen their grip on power and may aim to humiliate the American president.
#us-iran-conflict #cease-fire-negotiations #strait-of-hormuz #middle-east-geopolitics #us-domestic-politics
Read at The Atlantic
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