Trump's hardline stance on border security and deporting undocumented migrants contrasted sharply with the previous administration, as illegal border crossings reached record highs under Biden. Trump's views on immigration were pivotal to his 2024 election victory, resonating with 72% of Americans, according to a Gallup poll.
If an election were held tomorrow, the central projection from our MRP estimates that Labour would not only lose their majority, falling to 178 seats, but in doing so become second party by some distance in a hung parliament in which Reform UK would be the largest force.