#historical-precedent

#historical-precedent

The mid-decade congressional gerrymandering that Donald Trump kicked off by instructing Texas Republicans to grab five additional districts before the 2026 midterms was startling to anyone with an understanding of how these things normally work. Traditionally (at least in the 20th century), redistricting happened every ten years following the decennial census and the reapportionment of U.S. House districts between the states. This expectation created considerable stability in congressional delegations with changes mostly

President Trump could change his mind, of course, but it makes some sense from his point of view. He knows preserving Republicans' governing trifecta is going to be an uphill climb in 2026, given the historical pattern of the White House party almost always losing House seats in the midterms. His iron control of the GOP means it won't be hard to impose discipline on hand-picked delegates to an event like this, essentially making it a big paid ad for the party and its messages.