Israel's recent strike on Iranian military and nuclear sites marks a significant escalation in its regional strategy, emboldened by previous military successes against Hezbollah. Prime Minister Netanyahu has long threatened such action but was previously restrained by various factors. However, following recent conflicts, Israel has gained confidence to act decisively, driven by fear of Iran's nuclear advancement and diminished concern over potential diplomatic repercussions, despite expectations of a strong Iranian counterattack.
The unexpected degree of success in targeting Hezbollah's leaders reduced Israeli wariness about launching a similar campaign against Iran, despite expectations of a severe Iranian response.
Israeli fear of diplomatic blowback has diminished not due to lessening threats, but because the prospect of diplomatic fallout has intensified.
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